UCI

1999 Orange County Annual Survey
University of California, Irvine

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University of California, Irvine
© 1999 UC Regents

OVERALL MOOD:
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

Orange County is continuing on its course of heady consumer confidence, with scores recovering from last year's slight dip caused by worries about the short-term national outlook. The Orange County Consumer Confidence Index now stands at 111, which is the highest score measured since the Orange County Annual Survey began tracking this in 1986. The local index stands well ahead of the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index, now at 105. The Orange County Index climbed 6 points since the 1998 survey, while the U.S. Index rose by 5 points. Here are the results for the individual items that make up the five-question Consumer Confidence Index:

  • 71% expect good times for the U.S. economy next year, while 16% predict bad times. Optimism has rebounded with a 12-point increase since 1998.
  • 58% believe the U.S. will have continued good economic times during the next five years, while 25% expect bad times. This 33-point gap between optimists and pessimists is the most positive long-term U.S. outlook we have on record.
  • 55% say they are financially better off now than a year ago, while only 12% are worse off. The 43-point gap between those who are better off and those who are worse off amounts to a 7-point increase from last year.
  • 51% expect to be financially better off next year than they are now, while 4% think they will be worse off. The number with bright expectations is unchanged from 1998.
  • 72% think now is a good time for major purchases, while 12% call it a bad time. This highly positive attitude toward spending is unchanged from last year.
The surge in economic confidence is especially strong among Latinos, of whom 58% say they are better off now than last year—a 7-point rise since 1998. Latinos also express the most confidence in their future finances, with 61% expecting to be better off next year, compared to 51% among all residents. The Consumer Confidence Index is 110 for Latinos, up 5 points from a year ago.

FIVE-QUESTION CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX *

Year Orange
County
United
States
86 109 92
87 104 94
88 106 95
89 105 96
90 85 76
91 84 82
92 75 77
93 73 75
94 89 92
95 90 94
96 101 95
97 110 107
98 105 100
99 111 105