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OVERALL
MOOD:
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
Orange County is continuing on its course of heady consumer
confidence, with scores recovering from last year's slight dip caused
by worries about the short-term national outlook. The Orange County
Consumer Confidence Index now stands at 111, which is the highest score
measured since the Orange County Annual Survey began tracking this in
1986. The local index stands well ahead of the U.S. Consumer Confidence
Index, now at 105. The Orange County Index climbed 6 points since the
1998 survey, while the U.S. Index rose by 5 points. Here are the results
for the individual items that make up the five-question Consumer Confidence
Index:
71% expect good times for the U.S. economy next year,
while 16% predict bad times. Optimism has rebounded with a 12-point
increase since 1998.
58% believe the U.S. will have continued good economic
times during the next five years, while 25% expect bad times. This 33-point
gap between optimists and pessimists is the most positive long-term
U.S. outlook we have on record.
55% say they are financially better off now than a year
ago, while only 12% are worse off. The 43-point gap between those who
are better off and those who are worse off amounts to a 7-point increase
from last year.
51% expect to be financially better off next year than
they are now, while 4% think they will be worse off. The number with
bright expectations is unchanged from 1998.
72% think now is a good time for major purchases, while
12% call it a bad time. This highly positive attitude toward spending
is unchanged from last year.
The surge in economic confidence is especially strong among
Latinos, of whom 58% say they are better off now than last yeara
7-point rise since 1998. Latinos also express the most confidence in their
future finances, with 61% expecting to be better off next year, compared
to 51% among all residents. The Consumer Confidence Index is 110 for Latinos,
up 5 points from a year ago.
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FIVE-QUESTION
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX *
|
| Year |
Orange
County |
United
States |
| 86 |
109 |
92 |
| 87 |
104 |
94 |
| 88 |
106 |
95 |
| 89 |
105 |
96 |
| 90 |
85 |
76 |
| 91 |
84 |
82 |
| 92 |
75 |
77 |
| 93 |
73 |
75 |
| 94 |
89 |
92 |
| 95 |
90 |
94 |
| 96 |
101 |
95 |
| 97 |
110 |
107 |
| 98 |
105 |
100 |
| 99 |
111 |
105 |
|