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Latino
Voters: What will happen when the ‘sleeping giant’ wakes?
UC Irvine’s 1997 Orange County Annual Survey
provides some surprising answers
Irvine, Calif. – A UC Irvine survey
that measures the political attitudes of Latinos in Orange County provides
a glimpse of how this rapidly growing segment of the population—considered
by some to be a "sleeping giant"—might shape the future.
Latinos, who represent one quarter of the county’s population, have
the potential to be a powerful political force, but the 1997 Orange
County Annual Survey shows that the political landscape in Orange County
isn’t likely to change dramatically if this group begins going to the
polls in large numbers.
"For the most part, Latinos’ beliefs mirror those of the rest of the
county’s population," said UCI professor Mark Baldassare, who conducted
the survey along with research associate Cheryl Katz. "The stereotype
of Latinos as being more liberal—like old-time New Deal Democrats—than
the rest of the population is not true. Latinos are pretty much in the
mainstream of politics in Orange County—they’re just not participating
in the process."
The survey finds that four in 10 Latinos have little or no interest
in politics, and three in 10 follow political news infrequently at best.
Forty-two percent of Latinos say they never vote.
"Latinos could make a big difference if a specific issue were to motivate
them to become politically active—and they could give a significant
boost to any party that is able to mobilize them," said Baldassare,
who is professor and chair of the Department of Urban and Regional Planning
in the UCI School of Social Ecology.
Baldassare’s observations are based on a random-sample telephone survey
of 1,002 adult residents that was conducted Sept. 4-14. The margin of
error is plus or minus 3 percent. The survey included about 200 Latino
respondents, and interviewing was conducted in English and Spanish.
The survey shows that, like most other residents, the majority of Latinos
consider themselves middle-of-the-road to somewhat conservative. Their
views are similar to those of non-Hispanic whites on such issues as
government regulations, the environment, the attentiveness of elected
officials, federal income taxes and homosexuality.
However, Latinos are less likely than non-Hispanic whites to see immigrants
as a burden, to say that the government can’t afford to do more to help
the needy, and to view the government as wasteful and inefficient.
"Perhaps because they have been disengaged from the political process,
Latinos are less cynical about politics than other residents," Baldassare
said. "They don’t share the distrust in government that is so prevalent
in Orange County."
The 1997 Orange County Annual Survey is the 16th conducted by Baldassare,
who currently is a senior fellow at the Public Policy Institute of California,
where he is writing a book about the Orange County bankruptcy.
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