UCI

1993 Orange County Annual Survey
University of California, Irvine

Executive Summary
Introduction
Survey Methodology

Home

Jobs and the Economy
The Orange County Economy
Military Base Closing
Personal Finances
Consumer Confidence

Crime
Most Important Problems
Crime Perceptions
Crime Victimization

Tracking Questions
County Perceptions
Transportation
Growth and Development
The Environment
Housing
Charitable Giving
Political Climate

Conclusions

Appendices
Faculty and Staff
Steering Committee
Advisory Committee
1993 Survey and Output

University of California, Irvine
© 1993 UC Regents

The Orange County Economy

Residents continue to show a lack of faith in the local economy, and expectations for the future have reached a new low.

One in five rate the Orange County economy today in positive terms, with 2 percent saying it is "excellent" and 18 percent rating it as "good." Half (49%) give the local economy a "fair" rating, while 30 percent call it "poor." One percent are unsure.

Assessments of current conditions in the Orange County economy are unchanged from last year.

Young people are more positive about the local economy -- 26 percent of 18- to 34-year-olds call it excellent or good, while 19 percent say it is poor. Of those 35 and older, 15 percent say it is excellent or good while 36 percent say it is poor.

There are no differences in ratings of the local economy by annual household income: 21 percent with incomes of $50,000 or less give the local economy positive grades, compared with 19 percent of residents with household incomes over $50,000.

There are no differences by region.

As for the short-term future, 41 percent expect the Orange County economy to be in better shape two years from now than it is today. Of these, 5 percent say things will be "much better." Thirty-three percent expect it to be the same. Nearly one in four (23%) think the local economy will get even worse. Of these, 6 percent say things will be "much worse." Three percent are not sure about the local outlook.

The number expecting better conditions in two years is down 5 points from last year (46% to 41%), while the number predicting a worse local economy in the future is up 7 points (16% to 23%).

Again, younger residents are more upbeat about the local economy. Only 17 percent of 18- to 34-year-olds expect conditions to worsen in the next two years. Twenty-seven percent of residents 35 and older are predicting an even weaker economy.

There is not much difference in future optimism by income level. Forty percent of those earning $50,000 or less and 45 percent of those earning more than $50,000 think the local economy will be better in two years than it is today. About a third in each group expect no change. Twenty percent in the upper-income group and 24 percent of those earning $50,000 or less think the economy will be in worse shape two years from now.
There are no differences in future economic outlook by region.